Hey everyone -
Finally picked up a VIN after 177 days sitting in VON purgatory. That led me to look into how long it was going to take delivery, how much longer had I waited compared to others and a bunch of other stat-nerd things. I used the information compiled by user rayzazoo in the Hellcat VONs - Customer Sold Order List thread and did a quick breakdown of the raw data. Thanks rayzazoo!
First, I looked at the average period of time between the three major milestones - VON, VIN and Projected Delivery.
Having been a 9/9/14 order, I found it to be a little weird that my experience going from VON to VIN was more than 100% worse than the median value for that timespan (although I did place my order at a small dealer in Massachusetts). The difference between the minimum and maximum times to get a VIN were also pretty surprising. One person waited over seven months for a VIN, while another received it on the very same day that their VON went through.
This led me to try and find some sort of trend that could account for varied results (knowing that the FCA Allotment process is a serious wildcard in the data). I found a natural break in the data when you compare the groups of people who received their VONs before and after 11/1/14.
This break was also favorable because it was close to an even split in data points - 33 VONs received before 11/1 and 36 VONs received after 11/1.
The below tables compare the time between milestones for those who received their VON between 7/23 and 10/31 with those who received their VON between 11/1 and 1/26:
Category Definition:
Range - The difference in time between the person who waited the least and the person who waited the longest.
From the data it is interesting to see how much faster VONs created after 11/1 are moving through the process:
The median time for a July VON to move to VIN was 186 days, while it is only 14 days for those with January VONs.
TL
R - Those who received VONs after 11/1 are moving through the process of at ludicrous speed compared to those who received their VONs before 11/1.
Oh, what an interesting process we have all become a part of.
- BostonSublime
Finally picked up a VIN after 177 days sitting in VON purgatory. That led me to look into how long it was going to take delivery, how much longer had I waited compared to others and a bunch of other stat-nerd things. I used the information compiled by user rayzazoo in the Hellcat VONs - Customer Sold Order List thread and did a quick breakdown of the raw data. Thanks rayzazoo!
First, I looked at the average period of time between the three major milestones - VON, VIN and Projected Delivery.

Having been a 9/9/14 order, I found it to be a little weird that my experience going from VON to VIN was more than 100% worse than the median value for that timespan (although I did place my order at a small dealer in Massachusetts). The difference between the minimum and maximum times to get a VIN were also pretty surprising. One person waited over seven months for a VIN, while another received it on the very same day that their VON went through.
This led me to try and find some sort of trend that could account for varied results (knowing that the FCA Allotment process is a serious wildcard in the data). I found a natural break in the data when you compare the groups of people who received their VONs before and after 11/1/14.
This break was also favorable because it was close to an even split in data points - 33 VONs received before 11/1 and 36 VONs received after 11/1.
The below tables compare the time between milestones for those who received their VON between 7/23 and 10/31 with those who received their VON between 11/1 and 1/26:

Category Definition:
Range - The difference in time between the person who waited the least and the person who waited the longest.
From the data it is interesting to see how much faster VONs created after 11/1 are moving through the process:
- The average person who received a VON after 11/1 has been assigned a VIN almost 70% faster than those who received a VON prior to 11/1
- The average person who received a VON after 11/1 moved from VIN to Projected Delivery just over 11% faster than those who received a VON before 11/1 - this is a bit fuzzy, however, since it is only a projected date
- Overall, those who received a VON after 11/1 have gone from VON all the way to Projected Delivery in less than half the time than those who received a VON prior to 11/1

The median time for a July VON to move to VIN was 186 days, while it is only 14 days for those with January VONs.
TL
Oh, what an interesting process we have all become a part of.
- BostonSublime